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Crown Green Handicap

Phil Watkinson

Team: Lane Ends BDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

872

Current Handicap

14
Honours
Season:

39

Matches Played

30

Wins

9

Losses

77%

Win Rate

9.7

Avg Win Margin

6.6

Avg Loss Margin

15-5

Home Record

15-4

Away Record

90%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
39 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/25/2026

A large recent sample: 39 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 1510/15

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 39 matches

+14 Rising
14 May17 Jun22 Jul26 Aug28 Apr2 Jun21 Jul25 Aug-14916
Started0
Lowest0
Current14
Win Percentage(40%)
77%
score+0.54→contribution+0.22
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.7
score+0.28→contribution+0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.6
score+0.24→contribution+0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
80%
score+0.60→contribution+0.06
Opponent Strength(10%)
778
score+0.30→contribution+0.03
Weighted Score+0.411
Sample Size Confidence
90%(39/41 matches)
Rating1123 → shrunk 1111→ adjusted 838
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)923
Recency Blend40% (39 recent matches)
Final Rating872
Handicap
14

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

30W9L39 matches·76.9% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lane Ends B2026Division 22016480%
Lane Ends C2025Division 31914573.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/25/2026Mike MulcrowH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
8/18/2026John RyanA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
8/17/2026Frank CardwellH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2026Gordon DerbyshireA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
8/11/2026Karl MellingA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
7/28/2026John LawrensonA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
7/21/2026Garry AppletonH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 2
7/14/2026Richard MartlandA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
7/7/2026Simon ChurchillH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
6/23/2026A PickervanceH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
6/9/2026John RyanH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
6/2/2026James HopkinsH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/26/2026Ray BatesA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
5/19/2026Chris TarbuckH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
5/12/2026Graham ParrA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/5/2026Geoff ParrH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
4/28/2026John CorlessA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
4/21/2026Lance FletcherH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
4/14/2026A GradyA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
4/7/2026Kevin BlackH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
9/2/2025P MurphyA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2025Ged HopeH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
8/19/2025Harry OrrettA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
8/13/2025John HopeH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2025Jeff BriercliffeA21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2025Richard MartlandH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
7/22/2025John HarrisonA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
7/16/2025Kevin HighcockH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
7/8/2025Anthony BurrowsA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2025John StampA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
6/25/2025Neil AconleyH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
6/17/2025Craig PunshonA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
6/11/2025Noel SwiftH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
6/4/2025Ged FillinghamA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
5/27/2025Jeff BriercliffeH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2025Wilf KayA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2025Bill AssonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
5/7/2025David CottamA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
4/30/2025Gary IrelandH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

10

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WLWWL
Last 1070% win rate— steady
WLWWLWWWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
John Ryan0220%8/18/2026
Richard Martland202100%7/14/2026
Jeff Briercliffe202100%8/5/2025
Mike Mulcrow101100%8/25/2026
Frank Cardwell101100%8/17/2026
Gordon Derbyshire101100%8/12/2026
Karl Melling0110%8/11/2026
John Lawrenson101100%7/28/2026
Garry Appleton101100%7/21/2026
Simon Churchill101100%7/7/2026
Biggest Win
Frank Cardwell (+18)8/17/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Karl Melling (-17)8/11/2026
Best Season
202680% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202574% · 19 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
74% → 80%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
77839 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
30-977% win rate

By Division

Division 216-4 (80%)
Division 314-5 (74%)
Division 280%
16W·4L·20 played
Division 373.7%
14W·5L·19 played

Debut

Apr 30, 2025

Latest

Aug 25, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (1.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

19.5 (39 total)

Seasons

20252026